The International Betting Integrity Association (IBIA) has devoted the main highlight of its third-quarter 2026 integrity report to Brazil, publishing the section under the title “Brasil: o custo da proibição” (“Brazil: the cost of prohibition”), according to a report by Brazilian industry outlet BNLData.
The association reported 67 suspicious betting alerts to the competent authorities during the quarter, down from 76 in the previous three months. The alerts covered eight sports, led by table tennis with 20 cases (30%, all outside International Table Tennis Federation competitions), followed by football with 15 (22%), tennis with 11 (16%), cricket with nine (13%) and esports with eight (12%). Greyhound racing accounted for two alerts, with one each in basketball and badminton.
Europe accounted for 64% of the quarter’s cases, led by Poland with 12 alerts and the Czech Republic with seven. Global alerts made up 12%, Africa 10%, South America 9%, North America 3% and Asia 2% — a single case in Israel. All six South American alerts were in football: three in Ecuador, two in Brazil and one in Argentina.
IBIA assessed Brazil’s pre-prohibition regulated model using the same 27 criteria it applies to all jurisdictions, awarding the country 77 points out of 100 — above Portugal on 68 and below Great Britain on 86. The score broke down as 22 out of 30 for regulation, 12 out of 20 for taxation, 19 out of 20 for product, 16 out of 20 for advertising and eight out of 10 for integrity.
Between 1 January 2025 and 25 September 2026, Brazil’s regulated market comprised more than 80 licensed operators serving around 25 million bettors, with an annualised size of R$40bn and 70% of betting and gaming gross gaming revenue channelled into the legal environment, IBIA said. Over the same period, 13,000 illegal sites were blocked alongside payment and advertising blocks.
From the start of 2025, every federally licensed operator was obliged to monitor suspicious betting, report it to the regulator and join an independent integrity body, while match-fixing became a crime punishable by two to six years.
Those obligations showed up directly in IBIA’s own data. The association recorded an average of 11 Brazil-related alerts a year between 2021 and 2024 — 11, 14, 11 and seven respectively — rising to 25 alerts in 2025, the first year of the regulated market.
“A regulação tornou visíveis as apostas suspeitas. A proibição desliga isso” (“Regulation made suspicious betting visible. Prohibition switches that off”), IBIA said.
Brazil’s prohibition was enacted on 25 September 2026 through provisional measure MP 1.394, with betting licences lapsing on 25 October 2026.
IBIA’s analysis draws on its study “Brazil: The Cost of Prohibition”, published in October 2026 and using market data from consultancy H2 Gambling Capital. Per H2 estimates dated 29 September 2026, the R$40bn annual regulated market falls to zero while the offshore market jumps from R$17bn to R$42bn — meaning R$25bn previously wagered with regulated operators moves to operators abroad, close to two-thirds of the former legal market.
A separate article by Gustavo Delbin and Mariana Chamelete published in Poder360 reached comparable figures, stating that the federal government’s 25 September provisional measure drove the illegal betting sector from R$17bn to R$42bn in 2026, shifting R$25bn to the illegal market.
Evidence of that migration is already being logged. Reports prepared by LegitBet for Brazilian operator association ANJL, obtained by BNLData, recorded 1,065 new suspicious betting sites targeting the Brazilian public between 29 October and 1 November 2026, 540 of them confirmed, with the dissemination of links hitting a record ahead of a public hearing at the Supreme Federal Court.
IBIA has recommended that Brazil reconsider the prohibition through the ordinary legislative process with a published impact assessment, retain the integrity framework and focus enforcement on offshore operators.
The association has more than 90 member companies operating over 200 betting brands. Its members monitor more than 1.5 million sporting events a year and analyse over US$300bn in global betting volume.
This article was produced with AI assistance and reviewed under the GamblingZine editorial verification process.
Sources
- IBIA: proibição das bets desliga o radar contra a manipulação no esporte brasileiro — Independent reporting (published 2026-10-31)
- bnldata.com.br — Authoritative secondary source
- bnldata.com.br — Authoritative secondary source
- bnldata.com.br — Authoritative secondary source
Reporting verified against the sources above; retrieval timestamps are preserved in the editorial record.